More and more companies are searching for strategic orientation and feel the need to support more future insights to win the innovation race. It focuses on generating analyses of possible futures and alternative strategies, based on available intelligence. The theory and intention is that imagination must be set free to the greatest extent possible in a. The present thesis is the final assignment of the double degree master program. The majority of the interview questions were formulated in a neutral and value free. Introduction to foresight and foresight processes in. Foresight as a specific term emerged in us military strategic planning after the second world. The thesis recommends improving strategic foresight methodology, building foresight capacity, and. Foresight between uncertainty and convention uio duo. Foresight tools and systems, which identify and follow new events in the. From theory to practise methods, tools and culture white paper july 20.
Introduction to foresight and foresight processes in practice note for the phd course strategic foresight in engineering andersen, per dannemand. Pdf strategic foresight process improvements for the. Strategic foresight is the ability to create and sustain a variety of high quality forward views and to apply the emerging insights in organizationally useful ways. Faculty of economics and social sciences f u n d a m e n t. As we noted, in a vuca world accurate prediction is an illusion. Note for the phd course strategic foresight in engineering. Introduction to strategic foresight future motions. University of fribourg switzerland faculty of economics and social sciences f u n d a m e n t a l e q u i t y v a l u a t i o n s t o c k s e l e c t i o n b a s e d o n d i s c o u n t e d c a s h f l o w.
English is the dominant language, the term foresight, introduced in the 1990s, was adopted. Both types can be used in combination to cover a wider scope. Strategic analysis of general electric 94 downloads 20 pages 4,845 words add in library click this icon and make it bookmark in your library to refer it later. Strategic foresight calls for a systematic analysis of identifying.
Government government and defense spending, excluding education, comprises 30% of us gdp, and about 8% of jobs. In 202014, the hungarian ministry of defense hun mod engaged in its first structured strategic foresight process, a process designed to examine events that might affect hungary until 2030. Strategic foresight is not about better predictions of the future. The majority of the interview questions were formulated in a neutral and valuefree. Holder of the chair of strategic foresight at the conservatoire national des arts et. The foresight paradigm reflects a modernization of strategic planning.
Writing a thesis is both individual and collective work. Future studies, foresight and scenarios as basis for better. Case study for strategic analysis of general electric. Pdf strategic foresight for collaborative exploration of new. In this thesis i present the framework for synthesis designed to facilitate a unifying.
Strategic foresight methods in the public and private sectors. Pirttimaki, foresight in a research and technology organisation, thesis at the helsinki. Instead, strategic foresight is about better preparedness for different futures that are all possible and plausible. Strategic foresight is the ability to create and maintain a highquality, coherent, and functional forward view and to use the insights arising in organizationally useful ways. Corporate foresight is expected to do exactly that. Strategic foresight methods in the public and private sectors c1c ryan j. Information and data can be collected with free or commercial tools and solutions. The views and opinions expressed or implied in the journal are those of the authors and should not be construed as carrying the official sanction of the department of defense, air force, air education and training command, air.
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